RES Prediction Results

Analysis: Over/Under 2.5 is PunterScore's highest-performing market — 74% win rate across 126 tracked tips. Exceptional confidence tips win at 82%, closely matching the AI's probability estimates. The Bundesliga leads by league at 81%. Flat 1-unit staking returns +8.4 units profit on this market alone.

Analysis: Over/Under 1.5 is the second-highest win rate market at 81% — primarily driven by Over 1.5 banker legs. Low average odds (1.42) mean P&L is modest on flat stakes (+4.2 units) but the market's real value is in accumulator construction. Under 1.5 tips in low-xG fixtures also perform well at 77%.

Analysis: BTTS Yes tips outperform BTTS No significantly — 71% vs 40%. The model is strongest on BTTS Yes in high-xG Bundesliga and Premier League fixtures. BTTS No is a harder market to model and is used sparingly. Overall 67% win rate at average odds of 1.82 produces +5.1 units.

Analysis: A 22% win rate is the expected outcome for a correct score market — what matters is whether the wins occur at odds that exceed the true probability. The AI's 13.8% average tip probability vs the bookmaker's 10.9% implied probability generates positive expected value. The 2-0 home scoreline has the strongest win rate at 28%, consistent with the AI's Poisson model weighting. +3.6 units profit on flat 0.5-unit stakes.

Analysis: Over 3.5 is a higher-variance market than Over 2.5 — 58% win rate reflects this, though still profitable at +2.8 units. Under 3.5 tips are fewer but perform strongly at 86% when the model selects them in low-xG contexts. The Bundesliga leads all leagues at 71% for this market.

Analysis: Draw No Bet is the second-highest performing market by win rate at 78%. The draw void rate of 14% (stakes returned) is within the expected range and demonstrates the model correctly identifies fixtures with genuine draw risk. Home DNB outperforms Away DNB at 80% vs 71%. Flat 1-unit staking returns +5.9 units.

Analysis: 1X2 is a broad market with significant variance by outcome type. Home win tips lead at 69%, away wins at 54%, draws at 38%. The draw prediction remains the hardest outcome to model accurately — the AI treats draws as residual probability and rarely selects them except in genuinely balanced fixtures. Overall 63% at avg 1.96 odds produces +3.2 units.

Analysis: Handicap betting is the highest P&L market relative to tip count at +4.4 units from 62 tips — outperforming all other result markets on a per-tip basis. Smaller handicap lines (-0.5, -1.5) perform best at 69%. Underdog handicap tips (+1, +1.5) at 61% show the model generates value on both sides of the market.

Analysis: Win Either Half has the highest win rate of any tracked market at 86% — reflecting the market's inherent structure where only a complete shut-out in both halves loses the bet. Low average odds (1.38) limit the P&L upside on flat stakes (+3.8 units) but this market's true value is as a near-certainty accumulator building block.

Analysis: Half-time result tips return 64% overall — HT Home Win is the strongest selection type at 68%, closely matching our expected performance range. HT Draw tips are harder to model at 52% but still profitable at the odds offered. The Bundesliga leads at 73% reflecting German football's fast-start patterns.

Analysis: HT/FT is the highest-variance market in our coverage — a 51% win rate on a market averaging 3.14 odds still generates +1.8 units. The 1/1 combination performs strongest at 55% for dominant home sides. X/1 tips (draw at HT, home win at FT) are more speculative but valuable in second-half dominant team profiles like Atletico Madrid.

Analysis: Anytime goalscorer is a high-variance market — a 47% win rate at average odds of 2.24 is profitable (+2.1 units on 0.5-unit stakes). The model performs strongest on elite strikers with high xG per shot — Haaland tips have won 70% of the time this season. Always check team news before placing — missed starts account for approximately 15% of losses on this page.

Analysis: Live signals have triggered in 71% of cases and returned a 62% win rate when the signal fires. Half-time triggers outperform minute-30 triggers (68% vs 61%) as expected — more confirmation available at HT. The +3.3 units on 0.5-unit stakes reflects the higher live odds available at trigger points. Only signals that triggered are counted in these results.